Hypertension complications calculator shows how the Geneia model works for populations
Data Science

Hypertension complications calculator: Know your population’s risk

June 22, 2021
A sneak peek into our patent-pending Hypertension Complications Model
President and CEO

I am pleased to share with you Geneia’s hypertension complications calculator . If you have a hypertension diagnosis, answer 10 yes-no questions, and you’ll know your expected risk of experiencing a hypertension-related complication in the coming year.

As important as it is for individuals to know their risk and work with their physician and care team to help mitigate devastating complications such as a heart attack, stroke or end-stage renal disease, that’s not why we created the hypertension complications calculator.

Our Why: Creating a Hypertension Complications Calculator

Instead, the calculator shows health plans and others who manage populations of patients how our patent-pending Hypertension Complications Model works to predict for those with hypertension who are likely to experience a complication in the next 12 months. The calculator simplifies the model and yields approximate results.

In other words, the calculator is a sneak peek into how our model works to help health plans and healthcare organizations identify and engage the ‘needle in a haystack'.

Hypertension: The Silent Killer

One of my colleagues likes to say, “Hypertension is the new diabetes.”

Sadly, she’s right. Far too many of us already have – or will develop – hypertension. Nearly half of American adults (45.4 percent) currently have hypertension (HTN) or high blood pressure. Even more troubling, the prevalence has been rising across all ages, and increases with age, such that nearly 75 percent of adults age 60 and older are hypertensive:

  • 18-39 years: 22.4 percent
  • 40-59 years: 54.5 percent
  • 60+ years: 74.5 percent

Hypertension complications risk by age range

For most hypertensives, there are no obvious symptoms. That’s why it’s often called the “silent killer.” Symptoms or not, hypertension can cause serious complications. Most American adults do not have their HTN under control, putting them at risk for:

  • Heart attack
  • Stroke
  • Heart failure
  • Kidney disease or failure
  • Vision loss
  • Sexual dysfunction
  • Angina
  • Peripheral artery disease

Now, imagine you’re a care coordinator for a health plan. Your job is to identify target populations for intervention. Given at least half of your plan’s adult members are hypertensive, you do not have the resources to focus on all of them. You need to find the impactable ones, the ones whose complications you may be able to prevent, the needle in a haystack.

Geneia Hypertension Complications Model

Enter the Geneia Data Intelligence Lab (GDI Lab) patent-pending Hypertension Complications Model *+, which predicts for those with hypertension who are likely to experience a complication from three stages in the next 12 months. The predictive risk for complication is broken out into three separate stages. Members can meet the criteria for one, two or all three. As the stage number increases, so does the severity. Within each stage, a member is classified as high, medium or low risk.

Complications of hypertension manifest in different organ systems with varying degrees of severity

To try the hypertension complications calculator, click here.

To learn more about the GDI Lab and our models to predict and prevent hypertension, diabetes and heart failure complications, visit: https://content.geneia.com/2021/mitigate-diabetes-heart-failure-and-hypertension-complications-and-costs/index.html.

*Certain data used in this study were supplied by International Business Machines Corporation. Any analysis, interpretation, or conclusion based on these data is solely that of the authors and not International Business Machines Corporation.

+Predictive models, by their very nature, contain certain assumptions. This is not an attempt to practice medicine or provide specific medical advice, and it should not be used to make a diagnosis or to replace or overrule a qualified healthcare provider's judgment.